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State Rank #37
Shelbyville Regional Rank #11
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Mid-State Conference Johnson County Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/13 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 485 530 576 538 459 391 465 617
Team Adjusted Rating 530 576 421 459 391 465 617
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Mid-State Conference Johnson County Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
110  Lauren Klem 12 19:48 19:11 20:32 19:44 19:38 19:27 19:45 20:13
185  Kathleen Lacy 11 20:17 20:07 20:57 20:12 20:05 20:01 20:00 21:11
314  Ava Ott 10 20:51 20:20 21:08 21:23 20:38 21:14 20:20 20:41 20:51
326  Hannah Lindsay 11 20:55 20:39 21:22 21:28 20:28 20:29 20:17 21:00 21:32
569  Ainsley Botkin 11 21:43 20:53 22:08 21:36 21:22 21:34 21:35 21:42 22:10
854  Willamina Thomas 10 22:24 22:19 21:57 21:50 21:59 22:15 23:09 23:30 22:14
1,113  Emma Small 9 23:00 21:20 23:05 23:13
Sadie Wilson 9 23:45 25:20 24:45 23:13 23:33 23:50




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.5 294 0.4 2.7 5.4 9.5 13.7 15.6 17.1 19.2 11.9 4.1 0.7
Sectionals 100% 2.6 84 8.8 43.5 25.9 19.7 2.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Klem 79.7% 102.4 79.7% 79.7%
Kathleen Lacy 16.2% 143.6 16.2% 16.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Klem 100% 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 2.3 2.3 2.6 3.3 4.1 4.0 5.3 5.6 4.3 5.2 4.4 100.0%
Kathleen Lacy 100% 44.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 100.0%
Ava Ott 100% 73.5 100.0%
Hannah Lindsay 100% 76.9 100.0%
Ainsley Botkin 100% 117.0 99.2%
Willamina Thomas 100% 151.8 61.5%
Emma Small 100% 172.1 5.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Klem 5.2 0.3 5.1 19.1 21.8 18.2 15.2 9.9 4.9 3.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Kathleen Lacy 9.8 0.4 1.6 4.1 7.3 13.0 14.5 11.2 10.8 10.1 7.8 7.5 5.2 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ava Ott 17.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.5 4.1 5.0 6.1 9.4 10.3 12.4 11.2 11.3 8.6 6.7 4.6 2.2 1.3
Hannah Lindsay 18.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.2 3.5 5.6 7.4 8.5 11.1 13.2 12.4 10.7 8.8 5.2 3.8 1.7
Ainsley Botkin 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 2.1 4.7 5.9
Willamina Thomas 39.2
Emma Small 45.8